BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Fort Dodge

Class: 4A Class Rank: 45 Conference: (0-20) Overall: (1-21) Overall Strength =   59.94

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/02/2003 Away    L *  51.76  52   71   4A   36 ( 7-15) Des Moines East        -8.18    -10.82                      
  2 12/05/2003 Away    L *  64.57  45   56   4A   25 (12-11) WDM Valley              4.63    -15.63                      
  3 12/12/2003 Home    L *  62.56  36   44   4A   27 (15-10) Marshalltown            2.61    -10.61                      
  4 12/19/2003 Away    L *  65.47  53   55   4A   38 ( 6-16) Newton                  5.53     -7.53                      
  5 01/03/2004 Away    L *  50.31  32   62   4A   15 (15- 8) Ames                   -9.63    -20.37                      
  6 01/06/2004 Away    L *  59.68  48   66   4A   20 (15- 8) Des Moines Hoover      -0.26    -17.74                      
  7 01/09/2004 Home    L *  51.18  41   54   4A   37 (10-13) Mason City             -8.76     -4.24                      
  8 01/13/2004 Away    L *  61.31  50   70   4A   10 (15- 7) Indianola               1.37    -21.37                      
  9 01/16/2004 Home    L *  47.65  40   64   4A   25 (12-11) WDM Valley            -12.29    -11.71                      
 10 01/20/2004 Away    L *  46.08  39   64   4A   35 ( 7-16) Ankeny                -13.86    -11.14                      
 11 01/23/2004 Away    L *  70.48  40   44   4A   27 (15-10) Marshalltown           10.53    -14.53                      
 12 01/24/2004 Home    L *  75.91  42   45   4A    9 (18- 6) Johnston               15.97    -18.97  rescheduled from 12/16/03
 13 01/27/2004 Away    L *  62.38  39   48   4A   33 ( 7-15) Des Moines Lincoln      2.43    -11.43                      
 14 02/03/2004 Home    L *  56.55  54   61   4A   38 ( 6-16) Newton                 -3.39     -3.61                      
 15 02/09/2004 Home    L *  55.39  43   64   4A   15 (15- 8) Ames                   -4.55    -16.45  rescheduled from 02/06/04
 16 02/10/2004 Home    L *  69.89  40   47   4A   13 (17- 7) Southeast Polk          9.95    -16.95                      
 17 02/13/2004 Away    L *  66.10  49   51   4A   37 (10-13) Mason City              6.16     -8.16                      
 18 02/17/2004 Away    L *  58.77  40   64   4A    7 (16- 6) Des Moines Roosevelt   -1.18    -22.82                      
 19 02/20/2004 Home    L *  62.49  52   62   4A   23 (11-11) Urbandale               2.54    -12.54                      
 20 02/24/2004 Away    W    65.06  55   38   4A   48 ( 3-19) Boone                   5.12     11.88                      
 21 02/27/2004 Away    L *  62.89  43   62   4A    8 (17- 7) WDM Dowling             2.95    -21.95                      
 22 03/01/2004 Away    L    52.28  37   69   4A    5 (16- 8) Cedar Falls            -7.66    -24.34                      
      Averages              59.94  44.1 57.3

Best game:   75.91 = 3 point loss to Johnston
Worst game:  46.08 = 25 point loss to Ankeny
Team stdev:   7.82